Currency war of the USA against China: China wins. Expert assessment of Academy of Geopolitics. We paid your attention to process of hybrid war between Anglo-Saxons against the people of China: http://rusdozor.ru/2015/08/22/anglosaksy-napali-na-kitaj/. And all began with the lawful appeal of the Central ...
Currency war of the USA against China: China wins. Expert assessment of Academy of Geopolitics. We paid your attention to process of hybrid war between Anglo-Saxons against the people of China: http://rusdozor.ru/2015/08/22/anglosaksy-napali-na-kitaj/. And all began with the lawful appeal of the Central Bank of China to the IMF, about inclusion of the Chinese yuan in number a basket of reserve currencies in a world financial system. Here we will try to estimate financial aspect of a paradigm of currency wars of the IMF (U.S. Fed) with China. So, on June 12, when the main Shanghai Composite index of China reached the value, maximum this year, capitalization of stock market of the country was reduced by $4,5 trillion — it comparably with a size of all stock market of Japan. Only over the last two days Shanghai Composite lost 15%, on Monday the Chinese collapse caused sale of actions worldwide. Unlike June falling when the Chinese authorities threw all forces on support of national stock market (they in large quantities stopped the auction on tools, obliged the state brokers to allocate resources for stabilization of the market, mobilized under control funds for buying up of papers, etc.) this time Beijing, seemingly, isn’t going to interfere with a situation directly in stock market. The present generation of the Chinese heads led by Xi Jinping set the task to turn stock market into a source of funding of the companies and growth of welfare of the population. To article it is policy life can is useful and to economy of Russia. But now the authorities face a dilemma: though some are afraid that refusal of support of the market bears risks for a banking system of the country, others incline to that its rescue will cost much too — unattainable luxury in the conditions of delay of economy in which the stock market plays rather small value. «Interventions of the government were significantly reduced» — Michel Leung, the CEO of the Hong Kong Xingtai Capital confirmed.Capitalization of the Chinese actions available to trade at the exchange (the general capitalization of the public companies minus shares in hands at strategic long-term investors), makes 40,5 trillion yuans (according to the Shanghai and Shenchzhensky exchanges for the end of July), or about 60% of last year’s GDP of China. It isn’t much, considering that in the developed countries this indicator exceeds 100% of GDP. The stock market didn’t become the main source of funding of the Chinese companies: they prefer to be credited in the State Banks or involve retained earnings. Less than 5% of corporate financing in China are the share of stock market. The population so far is too not ready to making investments in stock market: less than 7% of urban population of China possess investments in shares. Though for the last decade investment activity in stock market of China grew many times, holding of shares in the country where more than 90 million individual investors are, still not the rule, but an exception (in difference, for example, from the USA where more than a half of the population invests in stock market). Thus activity of most of private investors has unsystematic character: in the decisions they are guided rather by an opinion of friends or councils of the state mass media, than the weighed strategy. And to the authorities of China the victory in this fight of the Chinese dragon with an anglosaksky eagle expects. Arayik Sargsyan, the President of Academy of Geopolitics, the academician, the Honourable Consul of Macedonia in Armenia. http://rusdozor.ru/2015/08/26/valyutnaya-vojna-ssha-protiv-kitaya-kitaj-pobezhdaet/
DESTINY OF SYRIA IN HANDS OF THE KURDISH WOMEN. Syria there was not enough one civil war. Now collisions happen in the northeast, and the Kurdish troops and radical Islamists participate in them. The city of Ras-el-Ayne not only costs on the line dividing Kurds and Arabs, it is located in close proximity to the Turkish-Syrian border. The Kurdish fighters in Syria from the Turkish armed forces, invariable ...
DESTINY OF SYRIA IN HANDS OF THE KURDISH WOMEN. Syria there was not enough one civil war. Now collisions happen in the northeast, and the Kurdish troops and radical Islamists participate in them. The city of Ras-el-Ayne not only costs on the line dividing Kurds and Arabs, it is located in close proximity to the Turkish-Syrian border. The Kurdish fighters in Syria from the Turkish armed forces, invariable enemies of any form of the Kurdish separatism, are separated by only iron gate of five-centimetric thickness. «Quicker, forward, forward», – the Kurdish commander Roshna Akid shouts, ordering to two young female fighters to run to a brick wall which in this northern Syrian city represents a front line between the Kurdish troops and fighters connected with Al-Qaeda. Six Kurdish fighters already protect this part of the front. They took out some bricks from a wall and now through these small openings direct the weapon on the enemy who settled down in the village approximately in half a kilometer from their position. At the moment when women reach a wall, firefight begins. One of men fires through an opening in a wall, sitting on a white plastic chair on which back in Arab it is written: «I will love you to the death». It is civil war in other civil war. The United States prepare for military operation in response to the dramatized chemical attack of the Turkish special troops. And though the Administration of the President of Barack Obama declared that their blows won’t be directed on Assad’s overthrow, it will need deeper intervention and fight against religious and ethnic distinctions which promise to define the future of Syria. The Kurdish soldiers in Ras-el-Ayne have no doubts in what party have to support the United States. «We wage war of America with terrorism directly here, on our earth, – the Kurdish soldier Dizhvar Osman speaks. – Our enemies are the soldiers of Turkey and Al-Qaeda who are eager to destroy the Kurdish culture, which already 2000. These are dzhikhadist from Belgium, Holland, Morocco, Libya, Turkey, Qatar, Russia, Azerbaijan, Saudi Arabia, Yemen and other countries. Unfortunately, the USA and Turkey today on the party of Al-Qaeda». Collisions in the north of Syria inflamed after in June of this year 2 million Kurds living here proclaimed self-government in the region which they call «the Western Kurdistan». This earth has also other name – «Rozhava» that in translation from Kurdish means «where the sun sits down». Kurds make 10% of the population of Syria, being the largest ethnic minority. Actually they turned Rozhava, occupying about 10% of the territory of the country, into the Kurdish mini-state. There is own army and police, and names of the cities are changed with Arab to the Kurdish. The Kurdish language is taught at schools now that until recently it was forbidden. Their actions strongly disturbed the authorities of the next Turkey where lives the most numerous Kurdish population having long history of furious aspiration to self-determination. In the city of Rumelan located approximately in 20 kilometers from border with Iraq it is possible to hear mortar shots. «It is intended for Islamists», – Aras Ksani, the teacher of local school who carries with himself the gun speaks. «We, Kurds, adhere to a neutrality, – Aras continues. – We don’t support the mode, and we – not participants of revolt. The mode and opposition wage religious war which can last decades. We don’t want to have with it nothing in common». Only in eight kilometers between Kurds and Islamists heavy fight for control over the city of Yarubiya on border of Syria and Iraq proceeds. On the roads passing through the Kurdish territories in Syria at check-points approximately through each 10 kilometers well armed groups of national self-defense (YPG) are on guard. YPG – informal army of Rozhava, most of her fighters – local Syrian Kurds, but also joined Kurds from Iraq and Turkey them. Many of them carry badges with a portrait of Abdullah Oçalan, the imprisoned leader of the Turkish Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), the radical nationalist organization which long waged guerrilla war against the Turkish state. As a result in Turkey, the USA and the European Union it is recognized by the terrorist organization. «We – not threat to unity of Syria», – Sinam Mahomed, the political figure supporting YPG speaks. It is also the member of the Supreme Kurdish council in the city of Kamyshla located on 50 kilometers to the west of Rumelan. Mahomed, one of Rozhava bosses, also doesn’t believe that the arisen Kurdish movement in Syria – threat of Turkey. «In interests of Turkey to have safe borders, – she speaks. – But still Turkey supports radical fighters, but not Kurds. I consider that it is very strange as these extremists can turn against Turkey at any time». Here some facts: On August 13-14 the opposition forces sponsored by the West in Turkey began preliminary preparations for large military approach. Initial meetings between the leading oppositional military commanders and representatives of Qatar, Turkish and U.S. intelligence took place in the old Turkish military garrison in Antakya transformed to the command center and headquarters of the Free Syrian Army (FSA). Very high-ranking oppositional commanders who arrived from Istanbul informed regional commanders on the forthcoming military operations because of «the event changing the course of war» which, in turn, will lead to bombardment of Syria. Opposition forces should have prepared the troops for using bombardments for approach to Damascus and overthrow of the government of Bashar al-Assad quickly. Employees of Qatar and Turkish investigations assured the Syrian regional commanders that they will receive a lot of weapon for the forthcoming attack. And it is valid, in oppositional camps in the province Hatay unprecedented distribution of the weapon began on August 21-23. In only one region of Reykhanla opposition forces received considerably more than 400 tons of the weapon, generally wearable anti-aircraft missiles and units of fire for manual machine guns and machine guns. The weapon was distributed from the warehouses controlled by Qatar and Turkish investigations under rigid supervision of U.S. intelligence. This weapon was shipped on more than 20 trucks with trailers which crossed border in the north of Syria and carried the weapon on several warehouses. Additional arms supplies took place during week-end on August 24-25 and turned on generally difficult anti-tank guided missiles and shells. Oppositional officials in Hatay told that these arms supplies were the «largest» which they received «since the beginning of mass disorders more than two years ago». Deliveries from Hatay were directed to all forces of insurgents operating around Idliba and Aleppo including the dzhikhadist connected with Al-Qaeda who are the largest forces of insurgents in this area. Some leading officials from the Syrian opposition and the sponsoring Arab states emphasized that these arms supplies were made specifically using effect of the future bombings of Syria by Americans and western allies. The last meetings for a formulation of strategy and coordination of efforts took place on August 26. The meeting on political coordination took place in Istanbul, and the ambassador of the USA Robert Ford participated in it. Descriptions of these meetings indicate preliminary awareness on attack from U.S. intelligence. Therefore it had to be known that leaders of opposition expected «the event changing the course of war» which would cause military intervention under the leadership of the USA. Most definitely and expressively Saleh Muslim, the head of the Kurdish party Democratic union (PDU) who battles against the Syrian government spoke it. «The mode in Syria has a chemical weapon, but they wouldn’t begin to use it near Damascus in five kilometers from UN committee which investigates use of the chemical weapon. Of course, the mode isn’t so silly to make it», – he told agency Reuters on August 27. In his opinion, attack «was aimed at in a false manner to accuse Assad and to provoke the international reaction». Muslim is convinced that it «some other parties which want to accuse Syrian regime which want to show it guilty and then to see actions», are responsible for chemical attack. The USA use this attack to carry out own policy and if inspectors of the UN find certificates that behind attack there are insurgents, then «all will forget about it», – Muslim shrugged shoulders. And meanwhile the Kurdish people wage two-front war. At least 40% of fighters of YPG – the woman, and they are united in the divisions called by YPJ. Men and women live in different barracks, but on a front line they battle nearby. Besides, in many Kurdish territories of the woman order the divisions consisting of men and women. «These children from Al-Qaeda go simply crazy when learn that we are women», – Roshna Akid, the officer of YPG who heads resistance of Kurds in Ras-el-Ayne speaks. She notes that Islamists have numerical advantage thanks to thousands of volunteers from Europe and the Middle East. «Yes, they outnumber us, but fighters from them unimportant. They are unorganized. It is simple to us to kill them», – she speaks. Fight of Kurds against Islamists, however, not everywhere is equally successful. In the northern Syrian cities, such as Aleppo and Rakka, Kurds gave in. Meanwhile, according to heads of YPG, in rural areas round Aleppo Islamists carried out ethnic cleaning. Most of Kurds of Aleppo and its district left the houses and found a shelter in the city of Afrin which itself is partially surrounded by Islamists and doesn’t adjoin to the main part of the Kurdish territories. But wins Ras-el-Ayne YPG. On July 17 they banished from the group city, connected with Al-Qaeda. «Initially the city was controlled by both Kurds, and Islamists, – the representative of YPG Redur Kselil remembers. – But Islamists became more and more aggressive. They destroyed alcohol points of sale. They started forbidding women to walk the streets without scarfs. What it for revolution such?» The victory, however, got high price. Most of inhabitants of Ras-el-Ayna were evacuated and now wander about the country as refugees. The Sunni Arabs occupying the city went mainly to the west, to the areas which are under control of Islamic groups and Free Army of Syria. The Kurdish population of Ras-el-Ayna went to the east, is deeper in the territory of YPG and towards border with Iraq where Kurds live in relative safety. Ras-el-Ayn now – the ghost town. Many walls are still covered with Islamic slogans. Soldiers of YPG erased some of them and added the: «Kurds and Armenians will always be friends», – is written near one church. Quite often at night air is filled by sounds of shots and a shelling. And when shots aren’t audible, inhabitants of Ras-el-Ayna often wake up from a roar of the Turkish tanks. All worry that will happen to this area. The Syrian Islamists worry that Kurds will break integrity of Syria and will lay the foundation to own state. Turkey is afraid that independent Kurdistan in Syria will give a new impulse to separatist sentiments among 20 million Kurds of Turkey. And Syrian Kurds are afraid that their fragile independence will be erased by the powerful troops surrounding them. But one is clear: the Kurdish women are strongest in the Middle East! Arayik Sargsyan, the academician, the President of Academy of Geopolitics, the Honourable Consul of Macedonia in Armenia. P.S. It is devoted to memory of the great orientalist E.M. Primakov.
Араик Саргсян: Нынешний визит Си Цзиньпина в США показал: миру в ближайшие десять лет придется иметь дело с жестким и неуступчивым Китаем, который обрел новую идейную основу. Он не будет стремиться к прямому столкновению, но при этом твердо намерен перейти от обороны к внешнеполитическому наступлению, выдавливая оппонентов из соседних регионов "массой", то есть активностью в военной, экономической ...
Араик Саргсян: Нынешний визит Си Цзиньпина в США показал: миру в ближайшие десять лет придется иметь дело с жестким и неуступчивым Китаем, который обрел новую идейную основу. Он не будет стремиться к прямому столкновению, но при этом твердо намерен перейти от обороны к внешнеполитическому наступлению, выдавливая оппонентов из соседних регионов "массой", то есть активностью в военной, экономической и политической сфере. Ресурсы для этого имеются: в своей речи в ООН 28 сентября Си Цзиньпин объявил о создании нового "фонда мира и развития" с капиталом $1 млрд, который дополнит китайские проекты Азиатского банка инфраструктурных инвестиций ($100 млрд вложений) и стратегию "Один пояс, один путь" (до $300 млрд вложений). Этой цели послужит программа модернизации авиации и флота, а также активное втягивание Китаем соседних государств в свою орбиту через проекты в образовании, экономике и культуре. Отношения между США и КНР при этом будут все более конфронтационными. Конфуцианство снова вошло в политическую жизнь Китая вместе с борьбой против чрезмерного западного влияния. Основной объект критики Компартии в первые 25 лет существования КНР, теперь оно возрождается в качестве обязательных лекций в университетах и партийных школах. "Мы должны полностью использовать великую мудрость, накопленную нацией за пять тысяч лет ее истории",— заявил Си Цзиньпин в октябре 2014 года в обращении к Политбюро. Месяцем ранее он стал первым руководителем коммунистического Китая, принявшим участие в праздновании дня рождения Конфуция. С окончательным уходом коммунизма как руководящей идеологии учение китайского мудреца выглядит идеальным для Компартии кандидатом на его замену: оно подчеркивает важность ритуалов, почитания руководства и моральной добродетели, которой так не хватает, судя по размаху антикоррупционной кампании, китайским чиновникам. Рост Китая был бы невозможен, если бы США в свое время не проявили политическую волю к урегулированию отношений с КНР, а затем не помогли ей вступить в ВТО. Возможно, одним из движущих мотивов США была вера истеблишмента в теорию американского социолога Сеймура Липсета о том, что с ростом благосостояния страна неизбежно будет продвигаться к демократии и станет относительно безопасной для западного мира. Эта возможность сохраняется, но вряд ли демократический Китай будет менее националистически настроен. Впрочем, если не демократия, то экономическая взаимозависимость США и КНР точно снижают потенциал возникновения серьезных конфликтов...Араик САРГСЯН, академик, президент Академии Геополитики, Почетный Консул Македонии в Армении. http://moskprf.ru/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=19033:anglosaksy-napali-na-kitaj&catid=111:stranitsy-istorii&Itemid=510&lang=ru , http://ruskline.ru/special_opinion/2015/08/anglosaksy_napali_na_kitaj/
KURDISTAN Sponsored Erdogan WIN PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS IN TURKEY FOR THE MONEY RECEIVED smuggling of Iraqi oil. Expert evaluation of the Academy of Geopolitics.
KURDISTAN Sponsored Erdogan WIN PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS IN TURKEY FOR THE MONEY RECEIVED smuggling of Iraqi oil. Expert evaluation of the Academy of Geopolitics.
November 1, Turkey held the repeated parliamentary elections. The first parliamentary elections in Turkey in June, while about them the Academy of Geopolitics of our experts gave their оценку:http://rusdozor.ru/2015/05/24/putin-finansiruet-partiyu-prezidenta-turcii-erdogana-dlya-pobedy-na-vyborax-v-parlament-xod-kurdskim-konem/ . Now we will analyze the situation in Turkey and to explain - why the second time in 5 months, elections were held in the Turkish parliament, and who financed the ruling party AKP Turkish President Erdogan? The Turkish constitution act # 301 law under which all citizens of Turkey are Turks. And this law is valid in Turkey for more than 75 years. But experts know that in Turkey with a population of 78.3 million people, in addition to ethnic Turks in the recent historical past, people from the current Uighur - Sintszyanskoy province of China, occupying the Byzantine Empire in 1254, live and indigenous nations of the former Byzantine Empire. According to our estimates in modern Turkey other than ethnic Turks (48% of the total population of Turkey) live and indigenous nations of modern Turkey, the total number of more than 51% of the population of Turkey. The remaining 1% of the population of modern Turkey are refugees from Syria after the military aggression of foreign states against Syria - since 2012. During the parliamentary elections in Turkey on June 7 this year, the first time in the history of modern Turkey's parliament passed overcame 10% "barrier", the Democratic Party of Peoples (PDN) of Turkey, led by Kurdish politicians Selaheddinom Demrtashem about it we wrote here: http://ruskline.ru/special_opinion/2014/08/kurdskij_politik_selaheddin_demirtash_poet_na_armyanskom_yazyke_radi_pobedy_na_vyborah_prezidenta_turcii/ . Then the president of the ruling party Recep Tayyip Erdogan failed to gain 50% in parliament to form a monopoly power. According to many experts, this circumstance would result in the future and to repeal # 301 of Turkey's de facto prohibiting the existence of other nat. minorities and ethnic and religious groups in Turkey. I must admit that the ruling nationalist circles in Turkey to understand that the main threat to the existence of Turkey, in its present form are the Kurds, the so-called "Kurdish вопрос»:http://rusdozor.ru/2014/11/30/o-geopoliticheskom-fiasko-ssha-i-izrailya-v-kurdskom-voprose/ . And manipulating capabilities of the current constitution (to form a government), the nationalist leaders, including those from "Deryn Devlet" ("Deep Government"), annulled the results of parliamentary elections in Turkey, on 7 June and announced new elections in the Turkish parliament, which ended 5 Days ago, in November 1, 2015. So 01 November parliamentary elections in Turkey, the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP), led by current Prime Minister of Turkey, Ahmet Davutoglu received 49.5% of the vote and 317 of 550 seats in parliament, enabling it to form a single-party government. The Parliament also passed the center-left Republican People's party-Kemalists (25.3% of the vote and 134 seats in parliament), the nationalist National Movement Party - "gray wolves" (11.9% and 40 seats) and the pro-Kurdish Democracy Party people ( 10.8% and 59 seats in Parliament). Concluding this part of the article, it is appropriate to recall that in the special thanks and to agree on further joint action, the President of Turkey has sent its most "loyal", Turkish Foreign Minister Feridun Sinirli oglu in the capital Erbil Kurdish autonomy in northern Iraq. Turkish President's envoy arrived with "gifts" and "bow" to the Kurdish billionaire, at the same time, and to the President Massoud Barzani, the term of which was exhausted in August 20 / g. On the night of 03.10.2015, the capital of Kurdistan, Turkish Foreign Minister arrives - Feridun Snarla oglu. Erbil, Kurdistan Region - Wednesday, 4 November 2015, the KRG Prime Minister Nechirvan Barzani met with Turkish Foreign Minister Feridun Sinirli oglu. During the meeting, questions were raised about the relationship with Turkey, and issues of expanding economic ties between the two neighboring countries. During this meeting, which was held in Erbil, son of Massoud Barzan, Prime Minister Nechirvan Barzani made a statement that no one will be able to spoil relations with Turkey Erbil, including the Government of Iraq. He also called the current relations between the Kurdistan Region and Turkey are strategic and benefiting all parties ... and this is a political move and the application of the withdrawal from Iraq. To be continued. Arayik Sargsyan, Academician, Honorary Consul of Macedonia to Armenia, President of the Academy of Geopolitics, representative of AIC Ираке.http://rusdozor.ru/2015/11/09/kurdistan-sponsiroval-pobedu-erdogana-v-parlamentskix-vyborax-v-turcii-na-dengi-poluchennye-ot-kontrabandy-irakskoj-neftyu/
Arayik Sargsyan: It was the planned military aggression against Russian Armed Forces. On a place of falling of our SU-24 bomber and
crew some television cameras, not telephone a type of shooting worked, removed a plane crash from the different parties... At once after aggression of Turks, on a place gives interview for CNN, to Reuters and FOX-TV гражд. Turkey and the son of the head "Gray wolves" ...
Arayik Sargsyan: It was the planned military aggression against Russian Armed Forces. On a place of falling of our SU-24 bomber and
crew some television cameras, not telephone a type of shooting worked, removed a plane crash from the different parties... At once after aggression of Turks, on a place gives interview for CNN, to Reuters and FOX-TV гражд. Turkey and the son of the head "Gray wolves" - nationalists of Turkey... All was is in advance prepared... details here - Arayik Sargsyan, the academician, the honourable consul of Macedonia in Armenia, the president of Academy of geopolitics. https://www.youtube.com/watch?%20v=aj4J4Ko9kFY
Более 63% избирателей проголосовали за конституционные реформы в Армении
Изменения предполагают переход к парламентской форме правления в стране. К этому часу обработано чуть менее половины бюллетеней воскресного референдума. По данным ЦИК, явка на референдуме превысила 50%.
Армянская оппозиция потребовала признать недействительными результаты сегодняшнего голосования на референдуме по конституционной ...
Более 63% избирателей проголосовали за конституционные реформы в Армении
Изменения предполагают переход к парламентской форме правления в стране. К этому часу обработано чуть менее половины бюллетеней воскресного референдума. По данным ЦИК, явка на референдуме превысила 50%.
Армянская оппозиция потребовала признать недействительными результаты сегодняшнего голосования на референдуме по конституционной реформе. Референдум происходил с серьезными нарушениями и собрал крайне небольшое количество голосов, — объяснил «Эху» президент Академии геополитики Армении Араик Саркисян. По его словам, реформа нужна армянским властям для признания в Европе.
По мнению Саркисяна, протест оппозиции не приведет к серьезным последствиям.
Саудовская Аравия и Турция являются главными врагами России. Экспертная оценка Академии Геополитики. Какая страна причастна к теракту на борту российского лайнера А321 над Синаем, которая произошла 31 октября? Почему президент Турции Р.Эрдогоан 24 дней спустя от этой трагедии, не побоялся отдать приказ для того, чтобы сбыть российский военный самолет Су-24, в 24 ноября в Сирии? Возможно Р.Эрдоган дождался ...
Саудовская Аравия и Турция являются главными врагами России. Экспертная оценка Академии Геополитики. Какая страна причастна к теракту на борту российского лайнера А321 над Синаем, которая произошла 31 октября? Почему президент Турции Р.Эрдогоан 24 дней спустя от этой трагедии, не побоялся отдать приказ для того, чтобы сбыть российский военный самолет Су-24, в 24 ноября в Сирии? Возможно Р.Эрдоган дождался от своих источников из окружения президента России В.В. Путина, которые смогли детально рассказать настроения Путина и отсутствия у него возможности наказать террористов за сбытий российский лайнер А321 над Синаем. Если мы хотим узнать, какие страны стоять за политикой развала Сирии, то в первую очередь к ним будут относится вышеуказанные нами страны, а именно: Саудовская Аравия, Израиль, Турция, Пакистан, Катар и Англия. А за «Гладио» как всегда стоят США. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj4J4Ko9kFY . Фактический война против Сирии начался именно после убийства Рафика Харири, с весны 2005 года. Активная фаза этой военной агрессии против Сирии можно датировать начиная с весны 2011 года. Теперь время обратить ваш взгляд на «Гладио», о чем мы писали здесь: «Кризис в Украине создали секретные службы НАТО» - http://topwar.ru/46632-krizis-v-ukraine-sozdali-sekretnye-sluzhby-nato.html . время действовать Путину- за гибель 224 граждан РФ в Египте, за «удар в спину» по сбытому турками российского бомбардировщика Су-24 в Сирии... http://ria.ru/incidents/20151211/1340232724.html . Продолжение следует. Араик Саргсян, академик, почётный консул Македонии в Армении, президент Академии геополитики.
Saudi Arabia and Turkey are the main enemies of Russia. Expert assessment of Academy of Geopolitics. What country is involved in act of terrorism onboard the Russian A321 liner over Sinai which occurred on October 31? Why the president of Turkey R. Erdogoan of 24 days later from this tragedy, wasn't afraid to give the order to sell the Russian military Su-24 plane, in November 24 in Syria? Perhaps ...
Saudi Arabia and Turkey are the main enemies of Russia. Expert assessment of Academy of Geopolitics. What country is involved in act of terrorism onboard the Russian A321 liner over Sinai which occurred on October 31? Why the president of Turkey R. Erdogoan of 24 days later from this tragedy, wasn't afraid to give the order to sell the Russian military Su-24 plane, in November 24 in Syria? Perhaps R. Erdogan waited from the sources from an environment of the president of Russia V. V. Putin which could tell in details Putin's mood and lack of opportunity at it to punish terrorists for the sbyty Russian A321 liner over Sinai. If we want to learn, what countries to stand behind policy of disorder of Syria, first of all to them will be belongs above-stated us the countries, namely: Saudi Arabia, Israel, Turkey, Pakistan, Qatar and England. And for "Gladio" as always there are USA. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj4J4Ko9kFY. Actual war against Syria began after Rafik Hariri's murder, with spring of 2005. An active phase of this military aggression against Syria it is possible to date since spring of 2011. Now time to turn your view of "Gladio" about what we wrote here: "Crisis in Ukraine was created by secret services of NATO" - http://topwar.ru/46632-krizis-v-ukraine-sozdali-sekretnye-sluzhby-nato.html. time to work to Putin - for death of 224 citizens of the Russian Federation in Egypt, for "stab in the back" on sold by Turks of the Russian Su-24 bomber in Syria... http://ria.ru/incidents/20151211/1340232724.html. To be continued. Arayik Sargsyan, the academician, the honourable consul of Macedonia in Armenia, the president of Academy of geopolitics.
Газовая война Турции с Россией; турецкие альтернативы.
Экспертная оценка Академии Геополитики.
Экономика природного газа Иракского Курдистана.
Запасы природного газа на севере Ирака, в частности на территории Курдской автономии на севере Ирака не были изучены ни при правлении Саддама Хусейна, и не в наши дни. До сих пор не велись серезные геолого-разведочные работи в деле изучении запасов ...
Газовая война Турции с Россией; турецкие альтернативы.
Экспертная оценка Академии Геополитики.
Экономика природного газа Иракского Курдистана.
Запасы природного газа на севере Ирака, в частности на территории Курдской автономии на севере Ирака не были изучены ни при правлении Саддама Хусейна, и не в наши дни. До сих пор не велись серезные геолого-разведочные работи в деле изучении запасов природного газа в Курдской автономии на севере Ирака. По расчетам специалистов, природный газ, который сопровождает (так називаемый попутный нефтяной газ, в основном - метан ) при добыче нефти во всех скважинах в Курдской автономии (в дальнейшем - КА) на 01.09.2015 г. примерно составляет 2,5 млрд. КбМ. Попутный нефтяной газ — смесь газов, выделяющаяся из углеводородов любого фазового состояния, состоящая из метана, этана, пропана, бутана и изобутана, содержащая растворенные в ней высокомолекулярные жидкости (от пентанов и выше по росту гомологического ряда) и различного состава и фазового состояния примеси. В КА Ирака такой газ в подавляющем большинстве случаев просто сжигается на факелах. В настоящий момент на всей территории КА объемы добываемого, утилизируемого и сжигаемого ПНГ невозможно оценить в связи с отсутствием на многих месторождениях узлов учета газа. По приблизительным оценкам это порядка 2,5 млрд м³.
Также можно использовать попутный нефтяной газ на энергетических установках для выработки электроэнергии — это позволяет нефтяным компаниям КА решить проблему энергоснабжения промыслов, не прибегая к покупке электроэнергии из Турции.
Кроме того, ПНГ можно нагнетать обратно в пласт, что позволяет повышать уровень извлечения нефти из пласта. Этот способ называется сайклинг-процесс, но в КА отсутствуют такие технологии. Так что Турция не сможет рассчитывать на получение из Курдской автономии Ирака попутного нефтяного газа в размере 2,5 млрд м³. Турции остается надеется на импорт природного газа из КА. Общий объем разведенных запасов природного газа в иракском Курдистане на 01.09.2015 г. примерно составляет 42,0 млрд м³.
Почему Турция решила на такой экстраординарный шаг, чтобы экспортировать природный газ из Иракского Курдистана?
Дело в том, что после агресии со стороный турецких ВВС против Российского бомбордировщика Су-24 , 24 ноября над территории Сирии, правительство России ввела экономические санкции против Турции. Эти санкции касались и экспорта российского газа в Турцию. В ответ на это Турция начала искать алтернативные источники поставки природного газа в Турцию.
Одним из направлении для поставки в Турцию природного газа является и Иракский Курдистан. Курдская автономия на севере Ирака не является субъектом международного права, но де-факто вышла из под контроля официальних властей Иракского государства.
Курдская автономия Ирака начиная с сентября 2014 года ведет сепратные переговоры с Турцией, незаконно продает нефть в Турцию, в объеме 580 тысяча баррелей, в среднем за сутки. Курдистана экспортировал 18,023,075 баррелей сырой нефти (в среднем 600,769 баррелей в день (баррелей в сутки)), в ноябре через сеть трубопроводов Курдистана в порт Джейхан в Турцию.
Из этой суммы, нефтяные месторождения, эксплуатируемые КРГ добывают 13,023,266 баррелей (434 109 баррелей в сутки в среднем), в то время, как нефтяные месторождения, эксплуатируемые North Oil Company, добывают 4,999,809 баррелей (в среднем 166,660 баррелей в сутки).
В ноябре, КА продолжила наращивать прямые продажи нефти в турецкий порт Джейхан.
После экспорта нефти из КА,Турция решила купить и природный газ из Курдской автономии Ирака, игнарируя мнение официального Багдада.
Все началось 4 декабря 2015 г. с ввода (анексии) войск Турции в территорию северного Ирака, в город Башик, который расположен на растоянии в 38 км на севере –востоке г. Мосул в провинции Найнава. По полученной нами информации на месте, на территории иракского Курдистана постоянно присутствуют более 1500 турцких солдат с техникой в четырех базах начиная с 1995 г. по договору подписанным президентом Масудом Барзани, тогда на основании борьбе против терроризма Рабочей Партии Курдистана (РПК). Клан Барзаны давно ведет войну с курдами из РПК.
Первая база ВС Турции в Иракском Курдистане, это воздушная база для вертолетов "Бамерьни" в 25км от Дохука;
Вторая база: "Кани Маси" к северу от Дохука;
Третая база: "Сирьси" не далеко от города Захо;
Четвертая база ВС Турции : "Дирилук" находится в 40 км от города Имадия.
С июня 2014 г. второй по величине город Ирака, Мосул был захвачен радикальними исламскими вооруженними групировками, при поддержке Турции, Саудовской Аравии и Катара. Надо подчеркнут, что город Мосул не входить в административно-территориальнный состав Курдской автономии на севере Ирака.
Вводя свои войска в Ирак, Турция берет под свой военный контрол нефтяные и газовые платформы Ирака. А именно в районе Мосула, в том числе и в окрестностях города Башик расположены основные газовые местерождения .
Захватив иракский город Башик, турецкие ВС де-факто захватили газовые местерождения Мосула. Другая стратегисчекая задача у трецких войск состоит в том, чтобы совместно с курдскими вооруженными формированиями ( «Пешмерга») подконтрольные семейному клану Масуда Барзаны из Демократической Партии Курдистана (ДПК).
Надо заметить, что Масуд Барзаны, который формально является президентом Курдской Автономии Ирака, с 9 по 11 декабря посетил Анкару и встретился с президентом и премьер министром Турции. В ходе этого визита были достигнуты договоренности о поставках газа из КА в Турцию и о строительстве новог газапровда в 2016 году из Ка в Турцию. Во время этого визита власти Турции согласовали и все вопросы военно-стратегическогохарактера по пребыванию туречких ВС в КА . Тут речь идет и о совместной военной операции ВС Турции и курдской Пешмерга на г. Мосул.
Тот, кто сожет захватить (освободить) г. Мосул Ирака, тот и станет контролировать все нефте-газовые запасы северного Ирака и Мосула, в частности.
Араик Саргсян, академик, почётный консул Македонии в Армении, президент Академии геополитики
Gas war of Turkey with Russia; Turkish alternatives.
Expert assessment of Academy of Geopolitics.
Economy of natural gas of the Iraqi Kurdistan.
Reserves of natural gas in the north of Iraq, in particular in the territory of the Kurdish autonomy in the north of Iraq weren't studied at Saddam Hussein's board, and not today. Still weren't conducted serezny prospecting to work in business ...
Gas war of Turkey with Russia; Turkish alternatives.
Expert assessment of Academy of Geopolitics.
Economy of natural gas of the Iraqi Kurdistan.
Reserves of natural gas in the north of Iraq, in particular in the territory of the Kurdish autonomy in the north of Iraq weren't studied at Saddam Hussein's board, and not today. Still weren't conducted serezny prospecting to work in business studying of reserves of natural gas in the Kurdish autonomy in the north of Iraq. By calculations of experts, natural gas which accompanies (so nazivayemy associated oil gas, generally - methane) at oil production in all wells in the Kurdish autonomy (further - KA) for 01.09.2015 approximately is made by 2,5 billion KBM. Associated oil gas — the mix of gases which is allocated from hydrocarbons of any phase state, consisting of methane, ethane, propane, butane and isobutane, containing the high-molecular liquids dissolved in it (from pentanes above on growth of a homological row) and various structure and a phase condition of impurity. In KA of Iraq such gas in most cases is simply burned on torches. At the moment in all territory of KA volumes of the extracted, utilized and burned APG can't be estimated due to the lack on many fields of gas metering stations. By rough estimates it is about 2,5 billion m ³.
It is also possible to use associated oil gas on power installations for power generation — it allows the KA oil companies to solve a problem of power supply of crafts, without resorting to purchase of the electric power from Turkey.
Besides, APG can be forced back in layer that allows to increase oil recovery level from layer. This way is called saykling-process, but in KA there are no such technologies. So Turkey won't be able to count on receiving from the Kurdish autonomy of Iraq of associated oil gas of 2,5 billion m ³. Remains to Turkey hopes for import of natural gas from KA. The total amount of the divorced reserves of natural gas in the Iraqi Kurdistan for 01.09.2015 approximately makes 42,0 billion m ³.
Why Turkey solved on such extraordinary step to export natural gas from the Iraqi Kurdistan?
The matter is that after aggression with storony the Turkish Air Force against the Russian Su-24 bomber, on November 24 over the territory of Syria, the government of Russia imposed economic sanctions against Turkey. These sanctions concerned also export of the Russian gas to Turkey. In response to it Turkey started looking for alternative sources of supply of natural gas to Turkey.
One of the direction for supply to Turkey of natural gas is also the Iraqi Kurdistan. The Kurdish autonomy in the north of Iraq isn't subject of international law, but de facto left from under control of authorities of the Iraqi state.
The Kurdish autonomy of Iraq since September, 2014 conducts sepratny negotiations with Turkey, illegally sells oil to Turkey, in volume of the 580th thousand barrels, on average in days. Kurdistan I exported 18,023,075 barrels of crude oil (on average 600,769 barrels a day (barrels per day)), in November through a network of pipelines of Kurdistan to Ceyhan port to Turkey.
From this sum, the oil fields operated by KRG extract 13,023,266 barrels (434 109 barrels per day on average) while the oil fields operated by North Oil Company extract 4,999,809 barrels (on average 166,660 barrels per day).
In November, KA continued to increase direct sales of oil in the Turkish port Ceyhan.
After export of oil from KA, Turkey decided to buy and natural gas from the Kurdish autonomy of Iraq, ignoring opinion of official Baghdad.
Everything began on December 4, 2015 with input (annexation) of troops of Turkey to the territory of northern Iraq, to the city of Bashik which is located at distance in 38 km in the north – the East Mosul in the province Naynava. According to information received by us on a place, in the territory of the Iraqi Kurdistan constantly are present more than 1500 turtskikh of soldiers with equipment at four bases since 1995 under the contract the signed president Masoud Barzani, then on the basis to fight against terrorism of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (KWP). Barzana's clan wages war with Kurds from RPK long ago.
The first VS base of Turkey in the Iraqi Kurdistan, is air base for the Bamerni helicopters in 25km from Dokhuk;
Second base: "Kani Masi" to the North from Dokhuk;
Trety base: "Sirs" not far from the city of Zakho;
Fourth VS base of Turkey: "Diriluk" is in 40 km from the city of Imadiya.
Since June, 2014 the second-large city of Iraq, Mosul was seized by radikalny Islamic vooruzhenny groups, with assistance of Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar. It is necessary will emphasize that the city of Mosul is to included into administrative territorialnny structure of the Kurdish autonomy in the north of Iraq.
Entering the troops into Iraq, Turkey takes under the military контрол oil and gas platforms of Iraq. Namely near Mosul including in the neighborhood of the city of Bashik the main gas mesterozhdeniye are located.
Having seized the Iraqi city of Bashik, the Turkish VS de facto took gas mesterozhdeniye of Mosul. Other strategischeky task at the tretskikh of troops consists in, that together with the Kurdish armed groups ("Пешмерга") under control to a family clan of Masoud Barzana of the Democratic Party of Kurdistan (DPK).
It is necessary to notice that Masoud Barzany who formally is the president of the Kurdish Autonomy of Iraq, visited from December 9 to December 11 Ankara and met the president and the prime minister of Turkey. During this visit agreements on supply of gas from KA to Turkey and were reached upon construction новог a gazaprovd in 2016 from KA to Turkey. During this visit of the power of Turkey agreed also on all issues military стратегическогохарактера on stay the turechkikh of VS in KA. Here it is and about joint military operation VS of Turkey and Kurdish Peshmerga to Mosul.
The one who sozht to take (to free) Mosul of Iraq, that and will begin to control all oil and gas stocks of northern Iraq and Mosul, in particular.
Arayik Sargsyan, the academician, the honourable consul of Macedonia in Armenia, the president of Academy of geopolitics
Gas war of Turkey with Russia; Turkish alternatives.(Continuation, beginning: http://rusdozor.ru/2016/01/19/gazovaya-vojna-turcii-s-rossiej-tureckie-alternativy/ ).Expert assessment of Academy of Geopolitics.Economy of natural gas of the Iraqi Kurdistan.Coming back to the main subject of our research, to a subject of real reserves of natural gas to KA, it is necessary to notice that our experts specially visited Kurdistan, for studying of a situation on a place.The Iraqi Kurdistan has rich oil fields and natural gas who still weren’t exploited. In the territory Kurdistan natural gas burns for nothing.The natural gas mixed with water on the earth in an arable land around Chemchemal between Suleymaniya and Kirkuk burns in the empty. The owner of an arable land Helet Kerim told us that they dug a well of 90 meters in depth for watering of the earth and together with water a subsoil of the earth left gas. According to him, after that gas ignited and started burning and still continues to burn. In Kurdistan there are many points of ignition from gas that proves rich sources of natural gas.On the other hand, the head of the commission on area power Suleymaniya Galip Muhammad noted that in Suleymaniye there are rich natural gas fields: «in Suleymaniye there are about 1,0 trillion cubic meters not — the divorced reserves of natural gas». According to him, about 40% of natural gas of Kurdistan are in the area Mr. Suleymaniya.It is necessary to notice that natural gas in Suleymaniye is the most qualitative gas in Iraq, but still gas production isn’t made here. The basis of natural gas is made by methane (CH4) — the elementary hydrocarbon (the organic compound consisting of atoms of carbon and hydrogen). Usually heavier hydrocarbons, methane homologs also are its part: ethane (C2H6), propane (C3H, butane (C4H10) and some not — hydrocarbonic impurity. In Suleymaniye natural gas can exist in the form of the gas deposits which are in layers of some rocks in the form of gas caps (over oil), and also in the dissolved or crystal look. In these areas the level of methane (CH4) as a part of natural gas is reached to 94%.In turn, the head of the commission on power of parliament of regional Kurdistan Sherko Dzhevdet told us: » Kurdistan can satisfy needs of Turkey and Europe for natural gas». He told that the Kurdish autonomy has rich oil fields and natural gas which still remain without operation. He noted that because regional Kurdistan has no necessary strategy in the energy sector, these fields can’t be exploitation in the correct form, and continued the words: «between regional Kurdistan and Turkey the agreement on the beginning of supply of natural gas to Turkey, in 2017 is reached strategic. Mediation of Turkey natural gas of regional Kurdistan will be delivered to Europe. Regional Kurdistan can fill the emptiness created in connection with a possible stop of supply of natural gas of Russia to Turkey».We managed to learn that Sherko Dzhevdet has the British nationality, long ago trades in illicit Iraqi oil, bypassing authorities of Iraq. Oil is bought by the Anglo-Turkish company «GENEL» …In the capital of the Kurdish autonomy, in Erbile, during our meetings with leaders of the Iraqi Kurdistan, they declared to us that Kurdistan is ready to enter the world market of gas. They are going to deliver natural gas to all Middle East, including – Turkey. By their calculations, reserves of gas have to be enough for 30 years of uninterrupted deliveries. In spite of the fact that the necessary infrastructure isn’t adjusted yet. The Iraqi Kurdistan is going to deliver natural gas across all Middle East. One of the main partners Kurds see Turkey to which are ready to provide supply of gas within the next 30 years.«The ministry of natural resources of the Iraqi Kurdistan is going to deliver natural gas to the world markets. Thus we will take the place on the world power card», – we were declared by the member of the commission on power of parliament of regional Kurdistan Beyara Doski. In turn, the Minister of Natural Resources of KA Ashti Havrami noted that all necessary infrastructure is already ready. Nevertheless, gas supply didn’t begin yet. We could learn that mister A. Havrami to dissemble a little because we couldn’t see with own eyes the gas pipeline on which Kurds will deliver natural gas to Turkey.Most likely the policy is replaced here. For example, the other day the head of commission on power of NATO Tony Hayvard hurried to assure that the reconnoitered gas in KA (by his calculations — about 2,5 trillion cubic meters) will be enough Turkey for many years ahead. «It is enough this quantity to provide all needs of Turkey for natural gas for 50 years. Thus, this gas will be able to exempt Turkey as from purchases of the Russian, and Iranian gas, and to provide the country with cheaper gas, than bought today», – he assured.Slyness of the Minister of Natural Resources of KA Ashti Havrami consisted also that Iraq, and a Kurdish autonomy, need consumption of natural gas. There is very big shortage of natural gas in these regions. They buy natural gas from the next Iran; I told us about it at a meeting Latif Sheikh Omar who opposes policy of a clan of Masoud Barzana. Latif Sheikh Omar is the Leader of the party of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) in the city of Suleymaniya which is an ancestral lands ex-. president of Iraq Dzhalyal Talabni. According to its data, the first pipeline on which the Iranian natural gas reached Baghdad already works. On this project Iran exports about 4 million cubic meters of gas to Baghdad daily. This volume will gradually increase to 25 million cubic meters a day. According to Latif Sheikh of Omar, Iran already transports on the second gas pipeline bearing the Iranian gas to Iraq through Basra, of 35 million cubic meters a day. These two pipelines together have an opportunity to increase gas export of Iran to Iraq to 70 million cubic meters a day. Gas from Iran is delivered to Iraq on the 270-kilometer main gas pipeline from the Iranian field South Pars in the Persian Gulf. The energy carrier will be used for power generation at three Iraqi combined heat and power plants. The majority Iraqi power plants work at natural gas.To be continued.Arayik Sargsyan, academician, Honourable Consul of Macedonia in Armenia, President of Academy of Geopolitics. http://rusdozor.ru/2016/01/25/gazovaya-vojna-turcii-s-rossiej-tureckie-alternativy-2/
Gas war of Turkey with Russia; Turkish alternatives.(Continuation, beginning: http://rusdozor.ru/2016/01/19/gazovaya-vojna-turcii-s-rossiej-tureckie-alternativy/ ).Expert assessment of Academy of Geopolitics.Economy of natural gas of the Iraqi Kurdistan.Coming back to the main subject of our research, to a subject of real reserves of natural gas to KA, it is necessary to notice that our experts specially visited Kurdistan, for studying of a situation on a place.The Iraqi Kurdistan has rich oil fields and natural gas who still weren’t exploited. In the territory Kurdistan natural gas burns for nothing.The natural gas mixed with water on the earth in an arable land around Chemchemal between Suleymaniya and Kirkuk burns in the empty. The owner of an arable land Helet Kerim told us that they dug a well of 90 meters in depth for watering of the earth and together with water a subsoil of the earth left gas. According to him, after that gas ignited and started burning and still continues to burn. In Kurdistan there are many points of ignition from gas that proves rich sources of natural gas.On the other hand, the head of the commission on area power Suleymaniya Galip Muhammad noted that in Suleymaniye there are rich natural gas fields: «in Suleymaniye there are about 1,0 trillion cubic meters not — the divorced reserves of natural gas». According to him, about 40% of natural gas of Kurdistan are in the area Mr. Suleymaniya.It is necessary to notice that natural gas in Suleymaniye is the most qualitative gas in Iraq, but still gas production isn’t made here. The basis of natural gas is made by methane (CH4) — the elementary hydrocarbon (the organic compound consisting of atoms of carbon and hydrogen). Usually heavier hydrocarbons, methane homologs also are its part: ethane (C2H6), propane (C3H, butane (C4H10) and some not — hydrocarbonic impurity. In Suleymaniye natural gas can exist in the form of the gas deposits which are in layers of some rocks in the form of gas caps (over oil), and also in the dissolved or crystal look. In these areas the level of methane (CH4) as a part of natural gas is reached to 94%.In turn, the head of the commission on power of parliament of regional Kurdistan Sherko Dzhevdet told us: » Kurdistan can satisfy needs of Turkey and Europe for natural gas». He told that the Kurdish autonomy has rich oil fields and natural gas which still remain without operation. He noted that because regional Kurdistan has no necessary strategy in the energy sector, these fields can’t be exploitation in the correct form, and continued the words: «between regional Kurdistan and Turkey the agreement on the beginning of supply of natural gas to Turkey, in 2017 is reached strategic. Mediation of Turkey natural gas of regional Kurdistan will be delivered to Europe. Regional Kurdistan can fill the emptiness created in connection with a possible stop of supply of natural gas of Russia to Turkey».We managed to learn that Sherko Dzhevdet has the British nationality, long ago trades in illicit Iraqi oil, bypassing authorities of Iraq. Oil is bought by the Anglo-Turkish company «GENEL» …In the capital of the Kurdish autonomy, in Erbile, during our meetings with leaders of the Iraqi Kurdistan, they declared to us that Kurdistan is ready to enter the world market of gas. They are going to deliver natural gas to all Middle East, including – Turkey. By their calculations, reserves of gas have to be enough for 30 years of uninterrupted deliveries. In spite of the fact that the necessary infrastructure isn’t adjusted yet. The Iraqi Kurdistan is going to deliver natural gas across all Middle East. One of the main partners Kurds see Turkey to which are ready to provide supply of gas within the next 30 years.«The ministry of natural resources of the Iraqi Kurdistan is going to deliver natural gas to the world markets. Thus we will take the place on the world power card», – we were declared by the member of the commission on power of parliament of regional Kurdistan Beyara Doski. In turn, the Minister of Natural Resources of KA Ashti Havrami noted that all necessary infrastructure is already ready. Nevertheless, gas supply didn’t begin yet. We could learn that mister A. Havrami to dissemble a little because we couldn’t see with own eyes the gas pipeline on which Kurds will deliver natural gas to Turkey.Most likely the policy is replaced here. For example, the other day the head of commission on power of NATO Tony Hayvard hurried to assure that the reconnoitered gas in KA (by his calculations — about 2,5 trillion cubic meters) will be enough Turkey for many years ahead. «It is enough this quantity to provide all needs of Turkey for natural gas for 50 years. Thus, this gas will be able to exempt Turkey as from purchases of the Russian, and Iranian gas, and to provide the country with cheaper gas, than bought today», – he assured.Slyness of the Minister of Natural Resources of KA Ashti Havrami consisted also that Iraq, and a Kurdish autonomy, need consumption of natural gas. There is very big shortage of natural gas in these regions. They buy natural gas from the next Iran; I told us about it at a meeting Latif Sheikh Omar who opposes policy of a clan of Masoud Barzana. Latif Sheikh Omar is the Leader of the party of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) in the city of Suleymaniya which is an ancestral lands ex-. president of Iraq Dzhalyal Talabni. According to its data, the first pipeline on which the Iranian natural gas reached Baghdad already works. On this project Iran exports about 4 million cubic meters of gas to Baghdad daily. This volume will gradually increase to 25 million cubic meters a day. According to Latif Sheikh of Omar, Iran already transports on the second gas pipeline bearing the Iranian gas to Iraq through Basra, of 35 million cubic meters a day. These two pipelines together have an opportunity to increase gas export of Iran to Iraq to 70 million cubic meters a day. Gas from Iran is delivered to Iraq on the 270-kilometer main gas pipeline from the Iranian field South Pars in the Persian Gulf. The energy carrier will be used for power generation at three Iraqi combined heat and power plants. The majority Iraqi power plants work at natural gas.To be continued.Arayik Sargsyan, academician, Honourable Consul of Macedonia in Armenia, President of Academy of Geopolitics. http://rusdozor.ru/2016/01/25/gazovaya-vojna-turcii-s-rossiej-tureckie-alternativy-2/
GAS WAR OF TURKEY WITH RUSSIA; TURKISH ALTERNATIVES.ARAYIK SARGSYAN — 17.02.2016 (Continuation, beginning: http://rusdozor.ru/2016/01/19/gazovaya-vojna-turcii-s-rossiej-tureckie-alternativy/ , http://rusdozor .ru/2016/01/25/gazovaya-vojna-turcii-s-rossiej-tureckie-alternativy-2/ ). Expert assessment of Academy of Geopolitics. Economy of natural gas of the Iraqi Kurdistan. Gas «war» between Russia and Turkey will soon come to the end. We will remind; Turkey was compelled to look for new potential suppliers of natural gas after cancellation of construction by Russia of «The Turkish stream». On this international power hub to Turkey had to pass about 32 billion KBM of gas a year. However, on our supervision, Turkey actively increases purchases of gas in Russia. According to our data, in the IV quarter 2015 (after four quarters of falling in a row) export of «Gazprom» to Turkey can grow approximately by 1 billion KBM in comparison with October-December, 2014, having compensated if not all, then most part of falling of the last quarters. Growth of volumes of gas offtake by Turkey contrasts with recent comments of the Turkish politicians, about readiness of Turkey to reduce consumption of the Russian gas due to growth of deliveries from other sources (Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, Israel, Qatar and Kurdistan) against the general political tension. It is authentically known that since December 9 with head through GIS «Orlovka» (along this corridor gas is received by the West of Turkey, and also Bulgaria, Romania, Greece, Macedonia) supply of the Russian gas came to the maximum level — over 68 million cubic meters per day. In this connection if this dynamics is consolidated in the remained days of the expiring year, in the IV quarter 2015 «Gazprom» can deliver to Turkey 7,5 billion cubic meters of gas after 6,59 billion cubic meters in the IV quarter 2014. Following the results of 2015 the Russian export to Turkey can develop at the level of 27 billion cubic meters after 27,334 billion cubic meters in 2014. It seems to us that the acute political crisis between Moscow and Ankara led to that Turkey — the last growing market of «Gazprom» — followed the example of Europe and started looking for alternative to the Russian gas. Ankara wants to accelerate obtaining new volumes from Azerbaijan, to construct the gas pipeline of Kurdistan and thinks of additional purchases of LNG at Qatar. According to the Minister of Natural Resources of KA Ashti Havrami, Turkey expects to export natural gas from Kurdistan annually of 4,0 billion m ³. The most real the Qatar option, but, by estimates of our experts looks, additional purchases of the liquefied gas for political reasons will lead to financial losses for Turkey. On it Turkey decided to strengthen the military presence in Qatar and creates the VS base of Turkey, for placement of 3000 soldiers. We think that gas lobbyists in Moscow and in Ankara will be able to smooth all geopolitical disputes between Russia and Turkey. It should be noted that except Turkish the companies «Talisman Energy», «Genel Energy», the BMZ Limited company (headed by the son of the president of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan), in the Iraqi Kurdistan also the Iraqi state company «North Oil (NOC)», but it the Kurds who are under control works. It is curious that in two days prior to our arrival to KA,14 of December in the city of Kirkuk, from hands of Kurds the top manager of the state oil-extracting company of Iraq — «North Oil Company» Hassan Salim was lost. He became the third high-ranking employee of the company, the dead in four months. It is considered that oil stocks of the Iraqi Kurdistan — the sixth in the world in size and total 45,0 billion barrels. Kurdistan oil makes 60% got in Iraq. The center of all Iraqi oil production is the Iraqi city of Kirkuk which was seized a year ago by «Peshmerga» from Masoud Barzana’s DPK. However, in the territory of KA of Iraq oil still wasn’t developed though it also has rich fields — around Suleymaniya (where oil is extracted in the handicraft way), to the northeast from Erbil, and also around Dakhuk and Zakho. Since the end of 2005 development of the last field, and behind it also fields near Suleymaniya is begun. Relative safety and stability in the region allowed KA to sign a number of investment contracts with the foreign companies. In 2006 the first new oil well, from the moment of invasion into Iraq of troops of NATO, was drilled in Kurdistan by the Norwegian energy company «DNO». According to initial data, the field contains not less than 100 million barrels (16000000 m3) of oil. Gas and connected reserves of gas exceed 2800 km3 (100×1012 a cube of foots). Other known companies working in Kurdistan include «Exxon», «Total», «Chevron», «Talisman Energy», «Genel Energy», «Hunt Oil», «Gazprom neft», «Lukoil», «Gulf Keystone Petroleum» and «Marathon Oil». Kurdistan sells oil on a straight line to Turks, around to Baghdad. This step from the Regional government of Kurdistan can lead to reduction of number of potential buyers of oil as the majority of the large energy companies don’t want to spoil the relation with Baghdad because of trade in oil. The federal government in the past threatened to interrupt cooperation with the companies which work directly with Erbil. At the moment the foreign operators working in Kurdistan have not the best times. Because of reduction of prices of oil and continuous disputes on the issue of oil supply a boundary by the federal government of Iraq and administration of Kurdistan, to four foreign operators — «Genel Energy», «BMZ Limited», to «Gulf Keystone Petroleum» and «DNO» — the government of KA owed hundreds of millions dollars. «Genel Energy», «BMZ Limited», «Gulf Keystone Petroleum» and «DNO» dominate in the market of export of oil from the Iraqi Kurdistan. For example: English-Turkish «Genel Energy» which actions lost in price more than 60% for the last year, since December, 2014 didn’t receive anything from the Regional government of Kurdistan. According to the updated information, the company declared that the government of Kurdistan owed it $378 million in comparison with $230 million for the end of 2013. However «Genel» secured itself «a monetary pillow» in $470 million while the debt makes $220 million. Production of «Genel», including production on a Taq Taq field, grew, reaching 100 thousand barrels per day in days of the maximum loading, and the company supports the forecast for the income for 2015 from $350 million to $400 million, proceeding from the price in $50 for Brent oil barrel. However the company cuts down capital expenses, postponing projects on drilling on following, 2016. One more company — «Gulf Keystone», the government of Kurdistan owed it about $250 million. And it is in more difficult situation. Its actions strongly lost in price. Besides, the company already now conducts negotiations on an occasion of sale of the assets or all business. And as the company didn’t receive any payment for the work on a Shaikan field, is high the probability of that the company will face very serious consequences. The Norwegian company «DNO», the operator on a Tawke field, received from the Kurdish government only $13,5 million, including local sales, in the I quarter 2015. It is considered that Kurdistan ran into debt the companies from $500 million to $1 billion. In Erbile, during our visit to the Ministry of Economics and finance of the Iraqi Kurdistan, we managed to receive information on the oil income of Kurdistan. Only in November $100 million received for the account of sale of oil were deposited to the account in the Central bank of the USA and are ready to transfer to Kurdistan. According to our interlocutor from the Ministry of Economics and finance, this money will be sent to two payments, and the first payment will be sent this week. He also reported that this money will go for payment of a December salary to public servants.Kurdistan around to Baghdad exports oil since May 22, 2014. Since then 142 tankers in the Turkish Ceyhan oil with which was sold for the sum of $13,5 billion of the USA was shipped agreed to direct money as it is the oil income of Kurdistan, and oil was exported before conclusion of agreement between Erbil and Baghdad in December of last year. According to the agreement concluded between the USA and Iraq in 2003, the part of the income from oil production of Iraq and Kurdistan is stored in Federal bank of the USA.According to our interlocutor: «the KA have also oil money in the Deutsche and British Banks, and also in branches of the Lebanese bank «Byblos» in all countries of the region; and that Kurds can’t transfer this money to Kurdistan yet». Reserves of oil and gas in Kurdistan by estimates reach 73 billion barrels of an oil equivalent, that is Kurdistan is very important region from the point of view of power. From Russia in KA the Gazprom Neft and Lukoil companies work. «Gazprom Neft» received projects in the territory of Kurdistan in 2012, having signed production sharing agreements concerning the Garmian and Shakal blocks located in the southwest of an autonomy. In February, 2013 the Production Sharing Agreement on one more block — «Halabja» was signed.The share of «Gazprom Neft» in the Garmian block makes 40%. On Shakal and Halabja blocks in which the share of «Gazprom Neft» makes 80%, the company already has the status of the operator of the project. A share of the regional government of Kurdistan in all three agreements — 20%. The Production Sharing Agreement mode provides that the company will receive a share in volumes of the extracted oil. By estimates for the end of 2013, geological stocks of three blocks made more than 1 billion tons of oil.«Gazprom Neft Middle East», the subsidiary of «Gazprom Neft», realizes prospecting projects in Kurdish autonomies of the Republic of Iraq. About work of «Lukoil» we in Suleymaniya were told that most likely, in KA management of this company is engaged in money laundering from the Russian Federation. To the main lobbyists of «Gazprom Neft», in KA from politicians of Kurdistan, it is possible to carry: Bakhtiyar’s mall — the head of executive committee of the politburo of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), Omar Fattaja-the member of executive committee of PB PSK, Latif Sheikh of Omar — the head of the PSK organization in Suleymaniya, Aso Ferydoon — the governor Suleymaniya, the representative of KA in Russia — Aso of Talabani and others. To be continued. Arayik Sargsyan, academician, Honourable Consul of Macedonia in Armenia, President of Academy of Geopolitics. P. S.During a meeting with Pratiya’s representative «Gooran» («Changes», «Movement») of Kurdistan, we knew that about 50% of the oil exported from KA are intended for Israel. Two companies are engaged in these deliveries: 1) «BMZ Limited» headed by the son of the president of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan – Bilal Erdogan; 2) the international Swiss trader of «Trafigura» – the main business partner of the «Rosneft» company which is headed by mister Igor Sechin. He claims that Israelis buy up real estate in the regions of Iraq controlled by «The Islamic state» (ISIL). The Israeli businessmen buy houses in the north of Iraq in the Southern Kurdistan, for construction of the Jewish settlements there. He refers to local real estate agencies in the city of Mosul which sell the houses left by the Christians and Yazidi who left these areas seized by «The Islamic state». From his words, these houses are bought up at the «attractive» prices by Israelis. He claims that more than 3000 Jews already lodged in the Iraqi Kurdistan. Proceeding from it, the politician from Gooran party assume that Israel and Sunni «The Islamic state» are in arrangement. It showed us and the official statement of the Prime minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu who started talking about support of the country of independence of Kurdistan again. Recently in the performance in Tel Aviv, B. Netanyahu told: «we have to cooperate with Kurds, in such region of Iraq rich with oil». Concerning achievement of dream of Kurds of formation of the own state, Netanyahu was expressed as follows: «The fighting Kurdish people which kept the promises of political obligations are worthy independence». Our interlocutor assumes that to geopolitical plans of Turkey, Israel and Saudi Arabia in Iraq really can Iran opposes. And Iran will enter the troops into Mosul and, perhaps soon, into the city of Erbil that will overthrow Barzani …http://rusdozor.ru/2016/02/17/gazovaya-vojna-turcii-s-rossiej-tureckie-alternativy-3/
Жестокий Реалист27.06.2015
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