"GAZPROM" draws Russia into war.
Expert evaluation of the Academy of Geopolitics.

Experts Academy of Geopolitics has repeatedly analyzed the activity of the Russian gas monopoly "Gazprom".

The fact that the company "Gazprom" is not just a business structure, and it is a geopolitical weapon Russia, and first of all in the hands of the President of Russia.

If in the middle of the XIX century predecessor, Mr Putin - the Russian Emperor Alexander III the main allies of the Empire is the Russian Army and Navy, then the current Russian President Vladimir Putin's main supports preservation and development of Russia are Russian Armed Forces, the gas company "Gazprom" and the oil company "Rosneft". The human talent and potential, unfortunately, not taken as a basis for the state. For the Kremlin, the geopolitics rounded military power and money!

And if the time of the Russian Empire of the Romanov czars disappeared, so like Tsarist Russia in addition to the Army, there was no gas and no oil (mean lack of economic power), then Putin's Russia in addition to the Army are economic instruments (oil and gas) to save Russia.

We estimate of its Anglo-Russian company "Rosneft", where 20% of the shares owned by the British BP, will present soon. And while we turn our eyes to the activities of the main geopolitical weapon of Putin-era Rossii to "Gazprom".

"Gazprom" and the Turkish company «Botas» December 1, 2014 signed a memorandum of understanding on the construction of the gas pipeline capacity of 63 billion cubic meters of gas a year from Russia to Turkey via the Black Sea. The pipeline length of 1,100 km will bring on the Turkish-Greek border to 47 billion cubic meters of gas. The intergovernmental agreement on a new gas pipeline is planned to be signed during the second quarter of 2015 and the first gas is supplied in December 2016 (see map).

After the abolition of the "South Stream" pipeline section length of 190 kilometers, which was to pass through the territory of Bulgaria, will run through Turkey. «Gazprom» and «Botas» have already identified the route of the new pipeline sea - it will be 660 kilometers of the route on which it was planned to build a pipeline "South Stream", and 250 kilometers - a new corridor in the direction of the European part of Turkey. In February 2015 it was defined overland route. The point of landfall - the area of ​​the village Kyyykey point of delivery of gas to Turkish consumers - Lüleburgaz, area output at the Turkish-Greek border - in the area İpsala. The length of the land area, according to statements by "Gazprom", will be 180 kilometers.

January 27, 2015 the head of "Gazprom" Alexey Miller paid a visit to Turkey. In Istanbul, the head of "Gazprom" Alexei Miller and Energy Minister Taner Yildiz agreed to build a gas pipeline "Turkish Stream" gas rossiskih for sale in Europe. It should be noted that Russia has refused to deliver its gas to Europe through Bulgaria with the help of the gas pipeline "South Stream", abandoning its construction. And the will of fate, we then 4 months, becomes a witness of revenge on the part of Bulgaria, where the Bulgarian Armed Forces received an order for the annexation of the eastern provinces of Macedonia, May 9 / g. Bulgarians went to the enemy is clearly a step in relation to Macedonia, together with the attack of Albanian terrorists from Kosovo Macedonian town of Kumanovo May 8th.

The crisis in Macedonia was organized by the secret services of Britain and the United States, with the purpose to failure of Macedonia on construction of its section of the pipeline, "Turkish stream." It should be noted that the Macedonian section of the pipeline was built by a Russian company "Stroytransgaz", whose owner is a close friend of Russian President Vladimir Putin, from the cooperative "Lake" - G.Timchenko. From - for short-sighted and aggressive policy of the Russian "Gazprom", Macedonia went to the edge of war, not only civil but also military aggression of NATO in the face of Albania and Bulgaria. Even at the time of the Academy of Geopolitics of our experts to identify the causes of the war in the east of Ukraine, marking the geopolitical interests of China to redirect traffic from the Russian gas Ukrainian direction for the EU to the East, to China: "The geopolitical war for Ukraine: Chinese footprint» -. Creating a domestic crisis in Macedonia, England to seek his Manual of Macedonia refused to further building the Macedonian section of the pipeline, "Turkish stream." They stated that the construction of a gas pipeline in Macedonia will not be renewed as long as the "Gazprom" - in the face of Russia, will not settle their conflict with the EU. And the British are making redirection of Russian gas from the countries of Europe, an increase in supply in the UK through the pipeline "Sevren stream» (Nord Stream AQ). It is pertinent to note that the director of the gas pipeline "Nord Stream" Russian President appointed his friend to work together since the days of the KGB in Dresden, Matthias Warnig. About German citizen Matthias Warnig, we'll talk about later, but note that he served ("although they do not have pennies") in the West German Intelligence Service (BND), not the least intelligence, under the pseudonym "Economist» (Volkswirt).

When in 2014 England bought from "Gazprom" about 16 billion cbm of gas pipeline «Nord Stream AQ», they are planning to buy from Russian gas - up to 49 billion cbm, 2018. And in order to ensure the realization of this goal, England in conjunction with the United States and Albania have provoked a crisis in Macedonia. On the other hand, the question of withdrawal of England from the EU by the end of 2017; that pushed the British to withdraw its future geopolitical protivnika- EU from obtaining cheap Russian gas for the South, the Balkan corridor. So, as Russia officially refuses to transport its gas to Europe through Ukraine by 2019, Europe will be left without Russian gas for the Southern direction.

Will it is in English, it is difficult to say because for Macedonians seems enlisted the Pope. According to our analysts, the support that the United States and other allies have provided some protests in Skopje and the Social Democratic Party, may be linked to a political choice Macedonian prime minister Gruevski against Russia. Gruevski did not support sanctions against Russia, but most importantly, he has supported the project of the Turkish pipeline, instead of the project "South Stream", eliminating the deadlock situation in which turned out to be the Kremlin. In other words, Macedonia declared its intention to become a major hub for the Balkan transit of Russian energy resources. Thus, the position Gruevski displeased overseas and jeopardize stability in Macedonia. Britain and the United States opposed to the Russian "Gazprom" entrenched in the Balkans, and by chance, attempts to create a new Kosovo, Vojvodina, Serbia and Hungary. It is no coincidence the specter of "pan-albanizma", supported by the myth of "Greater Albania", is used as a turning key Balkan instability, starting with Greece and ending with Serbia and Montenegro, and now Macedonia.

Gruevski recently met with Pope Francis plans to meet with Lavrov, but it does not abandon its plans to join the European and Atlantic bloc. Brussels and Washington, however, did not want to settle for accession of Macedonia to the EU and NATO. Most likely, they are seeking once again to create political difficulties for the Russian, exerting pressure for regime change by creating instability in Macedonia and later in the whole region. Once again the Balkans turned into a "big powder keg", as they were 20 years ago:

Meanwhile, the Russian "Gazprom" loses 25 million monthly. Euros from the Italian pipe-laying idle. The Russian company "Gazprom" starts the construction of the "Turkish stream," not signed a binding agreement on it with Turkey. Here there is a fair question, what is interesting involved the head of "Gazprom" Alexei Miller in Istanbul on January 27 by the Minister of Energy Taner Yildiz? Some experts believe that the Turkish side, knowing the human and psychological weaknesses to same-sex unions loving head of "Gazprom", so he "thanked" for "Turkish Stream" and unprecedented discount from the original price of Russian gas supplied to Turkey. The fact remains that for a simple Italian Saipem «Gazprom», under the direction of a failed manager Alex Miller italyatsam already paid 250 million. Euro, and continues to pay money, but certainly not out of your pocket ... And where does the "Gazprom" that kind of money? One source of replenishment of a profitable part of the budget of "Gazprom" is the high price of Russian gas, for which the Russian monopolist sells and its citizens, and the citizens of the Union State. And if millerevsky "Gazprom" sells Russian gas to citizens of Russia for $ 120 USD / USA 1000 MSC (and "decadent" US 1000 cbm of gas is $ 90 USD.), A member of the UES of Armenia, Russia sells its gas at $ 375 USD .SSHA 1000 MSC! This price is higher than in Europe, where the average for 1000 MSC appreciating sold Russian gas is $ 330 USD. USA. And if in the near-term crisis in Armenia there the similarity of the crisis in Macedonia, then there is no need to look for traces of the US State Department or arm anti Putin forces. The reason must be sought in the barbaric prices of "Gazprom" to sell Russian gas to Armenia.

I must say that one of the main causes of the civil war in Ukraine lies in the price policy of "Gazprom" with Ukrainian gas company monopolies, with "Naftogaz" of Ukraine and oligarch Firtash. In the evening on April 30 in the Viennese court fluent Ukrainian oligarch Dmitry Firtash has made a number of sensational statements that reveal the inside story of Ukrainian politics in recent years. In the trial of oligarch Dmitry Firtash in Vienna voiced statements of Ukrainian politics behind the scenes. In an effort to avoid extradition to the US, where Firtash is accused of economic crimes, the billionaire admitted that he made the president of Ukraine Poroshenko, and Klitschko - the mayor of Kiev. The main for him was to prevent government stooges of Washington - Yatsenyuk and Tymoshenko. Vienna court listened to the arguments of the oligarch: extradition to the United States is unacceptable.

In 2014, on the eve of presidential elections in Ukraine, Firtash has undertaken a series of actions to prevent the power of the current prime minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk and former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, which is supported by the US. To counter it, the oligarch decided to join together in a union billionaire and deputy Petro Poroshenko and Vitali Klitschko, who had previously been rivals. He held a meeting with them, by the way, in the same Vienna, where his case is now being heard, and there the three agreed on everything: Poroshenko is presidential Klitschko - for mayor of Kiev, but all of them Firtash finances. In the end, all that happened, says the defendant.

And exactly what did not become president Yatsenyuk, now can not forgive Firtash Americans seeking his extradition, he claims (formal reason for the issue - American businessman suspected of bribing ... Indian officials on titanium deposits:

Among the defense witnesses were former Energy Minister Yuriy Boiko and former board member of the gas intermediary "RUE" (RUE) Poutchek Wolfgang. The judge asked a lot about why the United States showed great interest in the gas trader, to control the supply to Ukraine. Poutchek was a representative of the trust «Raiffeisen Investment», acting on behalf of Firtash and knew from the beginning who, in addition to the Russian "Gazprom" company controlled by the intermediary. Ukrainian businessman for a long time preferred not to disclose their participation in the "RosUkrEnergo", the annual profit which in 2004-2009 amounted to several hundred million dollars.
"Americans by diplomats and officials informally pressured Trust« Raiffeisen », to find out who is behind it. They claimed that RosUkrEnergo - a mafia structure associated with Semyon Mogilevich (friend of President Vladimir Putin), and called the company unnecessary middlemen, "- said Poutchek in court. He, like Firtash, is convinced that the United States thereby helping to get rid of Yulia Tymoshenko "RosUkrEnergo". "Tymoshenko RosUkrEnergo discredited because she had interests in the gas sphere", - said the question Poutchek Christophe Bauer on the role of Tymoshenko in the gas conflicts around the opaque intermediary company. Protection of Dmitry Firtash, according to Bauer, to convince the court that the US supported Yulia Tymoshenko, to eliminating RosUkrEnergo, a gas weaken Ukraine's dependence on Russia. A few years later Firtash allegedly began to interfere with the US again. He supported the pro Russian President Viktor Yanukovych, and by his own admission, persuaded him not to sign an association agreement Ukraine and the EU. Announcing the decision, the Austrian judge Christoph Bauer named one of the reasons for refusal of Firtash in the US: - "at least partly politically motivated charges," put forward by the American justice system. "For me, obviously," said the judge, "Firtash - a very influential man in politics and in the titanium business, and in the gas. A gas - it is also the policy "- said Bauer.http:

If you return to the amorous adventures head of "Gazprom" in Turkey as a result of these adventures of A. Miller, in the face of Russian "Gazprom" reduced the price of Russian gas supplied to Turkey by 40% !!! And this discount applies to all private gas companies of Turkey, which accounts for 1/3 of all Russian gas sold to Turkey. In 2014, Turkey was buying Russian gas at $ 370 per thousand. Cubic meters. Now Turkish companies buy from the Russian monopoly in 1000 cbm of gas at $ 250doll.SShA.

Moreover, Russia has pledged to pay Turkish companies of more than 300 million dollars, have traditions of Russian gas in 2014. In particular, after intense negotiations achieved by "Gazprom" discount private Turkish importers of gas «Enerco Enerji», «Bosphorus gas», «Avrasya gaz», «Shell», «Bati Hatti», «Akfel gas» and «Kibar Enerji». Prior to that, companies were forced to pay for gas for 2014 - $ 374 for 1 thousand. Cube. m, which is much higher than the current market level in Europe. Now, in the first quarter of 2015 the price will be at least $ 300 per 1 thousand. Cube. m, in the second quarter - about $ 250 per 1 thousand. cube. m. Modified and pricing in the contract instead of fixed rates in effect in 2014, the parties returned to the oil indexation. The new agreement will apply retroactively from 1 January to the end of the year, that is, "Gazprom" will have to return to the importers of the payments already made (that's about $ 250-300 млн).

Turkish Energy Minister, and fight partner A. Miller - Taner Yildiz is now produced 40% discount for Russian gas and the Turkish natural gas monopoly «Botas». The result: because of the incompetent, selfish steps management of "Gazprom" in gas trade with Turkey for laying "the Turkish stream," Russia has lost in the "cache» (cash) in excess of $ 600 million US dollars. And for the construction of the "Turkish Stream" in its territory, Turkey consent and not given: . For the article, if the shareholders of "Gazprom", many of whom are citizens of Germany, England, Belgium, want to return the money "Gazprom" from Turkey back, then they can expect disappointment - Turkish Energy Minister Taner Yildiz is leaving his post in connection with the defeat of the Turkish President Erdogan in yesterday's parliamentary elections in Turkey, as an expert assessment of the Academy of Geopolitics was given in advance, "Putin party finances Turkish President Erdogan to win in the parliamentary elections: Progress Kurdish конем»-
The Russian side for the gas pipeline, "Turkish Stream", perhaps forced to start negotiations with the Turks again, because of the resignation of the Turkish Energy Minister.

The failure of the parliamentary elections in Turkey, the ruling moderate Islamist Justice and Development Party (AKP) is not just a country facing a serious political crisis, but it can also affect the Russian-Turkish cooperation. At the AKP, which has lost the majority of seats in the Majlis, have several options - from forming a coalition government to dissolve parliament and hold early elections. While this dilemma is not resolved in limbo will the project pipeline "Turkish Stream" and arrangements for the Russian-Turkish summit talks.

Political uncertainty will inevitably affect the timing of the project "Turkish stream." The gas pipeline, the construction of which Russian President Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan agreed in December 2014 to replace the «South Stream» and ensure the delivery of Russian gas to southern Europe bypassing Ukraine. "Gazprom" has already said that in June, will begin construction of the first line of the underwater part of the pipeline through the Black Sea power of 15.75 billion cubic meters of gas per year. The company plans to complete the construction of this pipeline by 2017, and by 2020 to build four threads.

Thus no binding document on the construction of the pipe with Turkey signed: an intergovernmental agreement is not concluded, Ankara has not given permission to "Gazprom" on the survey in the Turkish territorial waters for the laying of the marine portion of the tube. If the situation is complicated in Turkey, any decision of the Turkish regulators for permission to "Turkish stream" may be subject to internal political bargaining that may even slow down the project. "Gazprom" has already had a similar experience with the authorities of Bulgaria «South Stream». Yesterday, Vladimir Putin, on his own initiative held telephone talks with Recep Tayyip Erdogan, during which they discussed "issues related to the implementation of major infrastructure projects in the energy sector»: The president of the Russian Federation is another chance to convince the President of Turkey to Erdogan signed a contract for the construction of "the Turkish stream." June 13 in Baku (capital of Azerbaijan) will hold talks between Putin and Erdogan. But to expect positive results are unlikely to have because Erdogan after the parliamentary elections in Turkey, has become a "lame duck." So, the case of the head of "Gazprom" Mr. Miller bad. I remember the May 6, 2002, President Vladimir Putin appointed after much persuasion A. Miller to work in "Gazprom".

To be continued.

Arayik Sargsyan, Academician, President of the Academy of Geopolitics, Honorary Consul of Macedonia to Armeni